Application of Futurology for the Analysis of the Security Environment (Is it Possible to Determine the Future?)
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https://doi.org/10.52651/nmb.c.2023.9788080406516.446-454
Autor: Csaba VIDA
In: Národná a medzinárodná bezpečnosť 2023 [National and International Security 2023]: zborník príspevkov zo 14. medzinárodnej vedeckej konferencie [online].
ISBN: 978-80-8040-651-6 (online)
Strany: 446 - 454
Rok vydania: 2023
Vydavateľ: Akadémia ozbrojených síl generála Milana Rastislava Štefánika, Liptovský Mikuláš
Abstrakt: In the 21st century, previously unseen processes could be identified in the security environment, one element of which was extremely unexpected and rapidly changes in the security situation. In the rapidly changing security environment, it has become increasingly important to define the future, that is, to predict future challenges, risks and threats, which is necessary for a country to be able to respond to emerging threats. In security studies, there are various methods (e.g. matrix analysis) available to define the current security environment, which are only limited in their ability to present the future. Therefore, the author examined future research (futurology), how can it be used to determine the future in the field of security? In his brief analysis of futurology, he examined the differences between forecasting and visioning the future. During the analysis of futures research analysis methods, he emphasized the procedures that are suitable for predicting changes in the security environment, as well as for determining the future security situation.
Kľúčové slová: security, analysis, futurology, security studies
VIDA, Csaba. Application of Futurology for the Analysis of the Security Environment (Is it Possible to Determine the Future?). In: Národná a medzinárodná bezpečnosť 2023 [National and International Security 2023]: zborník príspevkov zo 14. medzinárodnej vedeckej konferencie [online]. Liptovský Mikuláš: Akadémia ozbrojených síl generála Milana Rastislava Štefánika, 2023, s. 446-454. ISBN 978-80-8040-651-6 (online). Dostupné na internete: https://doi.org/10.52651/nmb.c.2023.9788080406516.446-454